Market Update- A Bit Duller, Less Biased Trade
12:00 PM ET The immediate cash open looked pretty good, then came tariff negotiation news between the U.S. and EU....
Afternoon Update
The market-cap weighted S&P 500 holds a 1.25% gain and the equal-weighted S&P 500 trades 1.55% higher. The difference...
Updated Measured Moves For the Averages
3:07 PM ET From April 9th’s Daily Wrap, “Price action has been exceptionally volatile and not orderly so its difficult...
Market Update – Mega Caps Fade Early Stength
12:29 PM ET It’s another fluid market start. I expected a stronger start as of the weekend video, but that...
Afternoon Update
The market didn’t get much more than a knee-jerk reaction out of the Fed’s Collins headline so far, because while...
Fed Winks (Not Blink)
1:59 PM ET In my last post I wrote, “If the Fed steps in with some kind of bailout or...
Markers of Stress In the Financial System
11:58 AM ET There are or have been some ugly signs of stress in the system this morning, especially yields,...
Market Update
3:06 PM ET I’m not sure if the market would have preferred a weak 30-yr auction (Fed may be forced...
30-year Treasury Auction Results
OK, so there’s huge difference between yesterday’s 10-yr auction (that saw President Trump reduce most tariffs just 18 minutes after...
3C Update
I need to adjust my posts to the rapidly changing environment that is the Trump administration. I wrongly assumed we’d...
Today’s 30-yr Treasury Auction Is Key As Some Signs of Stress In the Financial System Persist Despite the President’s Policy Pivot
12:20 PM ET *Due to rapidly changing developments, I’m going to let early analysis and subsequent developments stand as a...
Afternoon Update
Today is going to end up being a very bullish day, likely kicking off additional gains over coming days and...
Intraday Update
2:47 PMET Market tone has improved dramatically since Trump’s tariff tweet. Why? It takes uncertainty off the table, at least...
Fast & Furious – Trump Hikes China Tariffs, Suspends the Rest For 90-Days
1:29 PMET Markets are rising quickly, not on the 10-yr auction, but the latest Trump tweet on Truth Social…. although...
Mixed Auction Results & Evidence Of A Liquidity Problem
Results from the 10-yr Treasury auction at 1 p.. are in and they’re mixed, but present evidence of a major...
1 p.m. Treasury Auction Coming Up – It Could be Important
The averages are pretty similar in terms of testing near measured moves/week’s lows. SPX (15m) DJIA (15m) NDX (15m) Small Caps...
Early Update – Looking For a Test
11:36 AM ET S&P sectors are mixed with 5 up and 6 down. The Technology sector (+1.3%), Mega Caps (+0.9%)...
Afternoon Update
Despite today’s pretty extreme intraday price volatility in the stocks, which is a function of elevated volatility levels, I’m still...
Market Update – Trade War Escalation
1:20 PM ET It’s another fast moving session with information changing quickly. I’ll leave some charts the way they are...
Afternoon Update
The two most important/influential averages reached second leg down measured moves early in the cash session. If we stick with...
