Afternoon Update
The major averages are set to close out the week a little mixed, but the bigger takeaway is, largely unchanged....
Market Update- Strong Payrolls Send Rate Hike Odds Higher.
A much stronger than expected Payrolls report was not the ideal, “Goldilocks” scenario described in Thursday’s market wrap. With Payrolls...
Afternoon Update
Given the mega cap 3C positive divergences and the Fed’s Waller opening the door for mega caps to take over...
Waller Gives Mega Caps The Chance They’ve Been Waiting For
Equity futures pointed to a modestly lower opening in premarket this morning, until the 8:30 a.m. ET data dump and...
Market Update: SPX Tests Former Support as Resistance; Mega-Cap Leadership and Oversold Small-Cap Bounce
Both the 10-year yield and crude oil prices pulling back from their overnight highs helped alleviate some of the pressure...
Market Update – Second Round of Rotation – Both Sides.
Things are happening fast. While I was going through the last post, the US launched a second round of strikes...
Retaliation – WTI +5.5%
President Trump posted on Truth Social, Iran’s military leadership said it will “inflict devastating and crippling blows” in response to...
Higher Oil and Yields Weigh On Stocks
Higher oil prices and Treasury yields continued to pressure equities this morning. A Bloomberg gauge of global sovereign yields rose...
Market Update – Finish the Gap Fill Effort, Or Not?
Escalating U.S.-Iran hostilities and higher oil prices set the tone in thinner pre-holiday conditions. Weakness is broad as the latest...
Warsh Turns Hawkish, Semis Distribute, Gap-Fill Bounce Started
The session has been all over the place. An early theme is a Mega Cap-driven rally with Semiconductor weakness (which...
Afternoon Update
First, Whatever degree of intraday relative strength in VVIX or even VIX, neither developed enough to be any kind of...
Market Update
Earnings are in the driver’s seat today. Tomorrow could see focus shift back toward macro drivers as Fed Chair Kevin...
Markets Drift On Thin Conviction with Little Equity Reaction to Hotter PCE; Oil Tests $80, Meta Settles for Up to $16.7B
PCE was a little hotter than expected. Core-PCE (Fed’s preferred gauge), as expected: PCE 0.2% MoM, Exp. 0.1% / PCE...
Afternoon Update
Not much change from the last update. I think we’re headed in the right direction. The two key averages (due...
Market Update: Slow-Going Grind
Treasury yields and oil prices continue to retreat. Quite honestly, the day is a bit more slow-going than I anticipated....
Market Update: “Operation Economic Outcast”
The major averages are little changed following Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent’s press conference outlining the administration’s new “Operation Economic Outcast”...
Market Update
Trade talks between the U.S. and Canada broke down on Friday. The US implemented a new 50% tax on imports...
Debt/Financial Crisis Pricing In?
The SPX is trading very much like there’s a max-pain price pin near $7700. Yields are trading higher as if...
Afternoon Update – Time To Call It
The averages are going into the close under pressure. I think it’s well past reasonable time (after today’s trade) to...
Market Update
Stocks are under pressure as oil jumps, Bessent’s QE-lite (or whatever you want to call it) gets tested hard 24...
