Market Update
Two fronts have been pressuring stocks to start the new week, energy prices and conversation around slowing down the pace...
Pause That Refreshes, Second Chokepoint That Doesn’t
Every day this week (until today) has had a 1-day oversold internals feel, we just haven’t technically gotten there because...
Oil higher, Rates higher, Stocks At Risk
My apologies, I’m having the strangest internet connection issues, whether via WIFI or mobile hotspot. For a third consecutive day,...
Market Update – Crude and Yields Surging; Equities Probably 1-Day Oversold
As noted in Tuesday’s market wrap, Iran hit a U.S. base in Jordan and stepped up attacks on U.S. regional...
Afternoon Update
The early reports were right. Two Iranian tankers have been struck off Kharg Island, and a third was hit near...
Intraday Update
Several explosions have been heard near the Kharg Island anchorage, according to Iranian media. This comes shortly after reports that...
Market Update – WTI Crude at Key Resistance Level of C&H
The averages are generally lower, pressured by an increase in oil prices. WTI crude oil futures are +1.5% higher after...
Afternoon Update
The major averages are set to close out the week a little mixed, but the bigger takeaway is, largely unchanged....
Market Update- Strong Payrolls Send Rate Hike Odds Higher.
A much stronger than expected Payrolls report was not the ideal, “Goldilocks” scenario described in Thursday’s market wrap. With Payrolls...
Afternoon Update
Given the mega cap 3C positive divergences and the Fed’s Waller opening the door for mega caps to take over...
Waller Gives Mega Caps The Chance They’ve Been Waiting For
Equity futures pointed to a modestly lower opening in premarket this morning, until the 8:30 a.m. ET data dump and...
Market Update: SPX Tests Former Support as Resistance; Mega-Cap Leadership and Oversold Small-Cap Bounce
Both the 10-year yield and crude oil prices pulling back from their overnight highs helped alleviate some of the pressure...
Market Update – Second Round of Rotation – Both Sides.
Things are happening fast. While I was going through the last post, the US launched a second round of strikes...
Retaliation – WTI +5.5%
President Trump posted on Truth Social, Iran’s military leadership said it will “inflict devastating and crippling blows” in response to...
Higher Oil and Yields Weigh On Stocks
Higher oil prices and Treasury yields continued to pressure equities this morning. A Bloomberg gauge of global sovereign yields rose...
Market Update – Finish the Gap Fill Effort, Or Not?
Escalating U.S.-Iran hostilities and higher oil prices set the tone in thinner pre-holiday conditions. Weakness is broad as the latest...
Warsh Turns Hawkish, Semis Distribute, Gap-Fill Bounce Started
The session has been all over the place. An early theme is a Mega Cap-driven rally with Semiconductor weakness (which...
Afternoon Update
First, Whatever degree of intraday relative strength in VVIX or even VIX, neither developed enough to be any kind of...
Market Update
Earnings are in the driver’s seat today. Tomorrow could see focus shift back toward macro drivers as Fed Chair Kevin...
Markets Drift On Thin Conviction with Little Equity Reaction to Hotter PCE; Oil Tests $80, Meta Settles for Up to $16.7B
PCE was a little hotter than expected. Core-PCE (Fed’s preferred gauge), as expected: PCE 0.2% MoM, Exp. 0.1% / PCE...
