Very Volatile Start With Tech Leading Lower
The stock market opened to broad gains with at least 9 of 11 sectors higher, with Semi’s displaying follow-through leadership....
Afernoon Update
8 of 11 sectors are down. Technology (+2.1%) is best, led by Semis (SOX +5.5%). Internals are mixed with Decliners...
Falling Two Methods Into CPI?
Over the weekend Israel bombed Beirut, which led to Iran launching missiles into Israel, and Israel launching attacks into Iran,...
Long Duration Runs Into Higher Rates
The major averages are lower across the board as the market faces a continuation of yesterday’s weakness across tech names....
Afternoon Update
From a broad perspective, Semis’ extreme rally from mid-May, dragging along the Tech sector, has a crack. SOX (15M) Tech...
Semis Show Cracks, But Dialed Down Geopoltical Tensions Support Rotation
Tech stocks and the AI trade are under pressure after several high-profile names reported earnings, raising fresh doubts about the...
Afternoon Update
Markets were relatively quiet this afternoon on the 3C charts, though I still have a few left to review. SPY...
Market Update – Reacting to higher Yields on Geopolitical Risk, but 6% Inflation on Deck?
Oil prices are higher amid latest conflict escalation between the U.S. and Iran, pushing yields higher and weighing on stocks....
Afternoon Update
The major averages are mixed late in the session. I haven’t seen the kind of afternoon 3C action apparent Monday...
Market Update
Index level performance isn’t much different than yesterday. more sectors are green. Internals are roughly the same. There hasn’t been...
Addendum
The feel I got from the 3C charts (cap-weighted averages with weaker closing 3C charts; volatility with a noticeably stronger...
Quick 3C Look
Something is “modestly” off. My best guess is that after witnessing events on the ground, and then hearing the political-talk,...
Ceasefire on Thin Ice: Israeli Deep Push into Lebanon & Iranian Threats Collide with Axios/Trump Optimism
The post-war ceasefire was unraveling fast, sending oil and yields higher right at key areas where price action has suggested...
Major Setback for the Iran Deal
Just as I was posting the A.M. Update, things began ramping up on the geopolitical front. Over the weekend, a...
Quick 3C Update – NDX
Someone asked me about 3C, I explained that, like most of my analysis, I use it across multiple timeframes and...
White House Situation Room Meeting Ends With No Decision
My suspicions were confirmed. I ended the last post with, “The market awaits President Trump’s decision on a peace deal,...
Waiting On Trump’s Decision – Narrow Leadership, Negative Breadth, Peak Euphoria
Traders are waiting to see whether the U.S. and Iran can deliver the peace deal markets have priced in every...
Afternoon Update
I had to start this post over. I found I was getting a little too deep into Software’s outlook as...
Intrada Update
Early trade has been driven by peace deal / MOU chaos. I’m using SOX as an example not because the...
SOX Into the Close
If there’s one chart worth watching into the close, it’s the Philly Semiconductor (SOX) Index. Internals are ugly with 25...
