Afternoon Update
For the first time in a long time, it looks like 1-day oversold internals are very likely. Two of three...
Semis Update
The Semiconductors index is at its 50-day, one of three assets I think need to be watched around their 50-day....
FOMC Minutes: Blame It on AI
The June FOMC minutes showed a Fed maintaining a data-dependent stance as elevated inflation, geopolitical tensions, and AI-driven demand continued...
Market Update – Heading For 1-Day Oversold Internals, & Potential For Geopolitical Escalation
You never know what you don’t know, but it’s pretty remarkable how these signals line up sometimes. After a six-week...
Afternoon Update
Just a few charts… SPY (2M) it looks like the oversold bounce off SPX’s H&S neckline has put in its...
Intraday Update – U.S. Treasury Amends Iranian Oil Sanction Waivers. Crude High of the Day
There’s been a rapid-fire spurt of headlines this afternoon from the U.S. Treasury, revoking a license and issuing another. It’s...
Market Update
Concentrated positioning and extreme leverage in semis is taking its toll as Semis are down big. Samsung’s blowout profits failed...
Market Update
*First off, apologies for the delayed post. I’ve been fighting with an unknown, suddenly introduced browser extension that keeps erasing...
Afternoon Update – Odds & Ends
The bulk of my analytical work was done last week and a few more very long days this week. Now...
Intraday Update – Market Looking For an Intraday Low
I think there’s still a desire to close the market out in to the holiday weekend with the best face...
Semis Hammered
Everything got off to a decent start with a weak Payrolls report sending the Dollar and rates lower, but Chipmakers...
The Crack in Semis Arrives As Meta Looks To Monetize Excess Compute
The big news today is that Meta is building a cloud business to sell excess AI compute capacity to third...
Forgot to Attach these Charts
It’s a little ironic that on a day that Tech is single-handedly propping up the market and filling the SPX/NDX...
Market Update – Still on Track: SPX/NDX Gaps Being Filled
We’re on track for the week’s forecast as the cap-weighted averages fill their gaps down from a week ago. Index...
Neckline Backtests and Whimper Rallies: Markets Tracking the Forecast
The rotation that began late last week, favoring mega caps over semiconductors after the former sharply underperformed for most of...
Not So Impressive
The major averages opened firmly higher following Micron’s (MU+15.6%) stellar beat-and-raise earnings report, which initially sent the Philly Semiconductor Index more than...
Afternoon Update
Well, would you look at that! The S&P-500 (10M) Tags the neckline that I sketched in on May 26th. As...
Holding Pattern Day: Downward Bias Clearly Focused on Tech Leaders
After a nearly +5% pre-market gain, the early buy-the-dip enthusiasm across semiconductor names has waned substantially. SOX (-1%) needs to...
SPY Getting Uglier
Over the last 20 minutes or so, SPY’s 3C has been nosediving. SPY (1M) Looks like it wants to head...
AI Cost Concerns Back in Focus
A Chosun Biz article reported that SK Hynix is slowing the ramp-up of HBM4 (next-generation high-bandwidth memory for AI, particularly...
