Market Update
Before the open, Iran’s state media released details of an unofficial draft MOU for an interim peace agreement with the...
Quick Afternoon Update
A quick look around in what’s been a relatively quiet afternoon… Bitcoin (-1.7%) is notably lagging the Nasdaq, but the...
Market Update – Long Duration Bounce on Lower Oil/yields, With Huge UBS Upgrade to Micron’s Price Target
Over the three-day holiday weekend, a steady stream of “imminent deal” headlines drove WTI crude futures down as much as...
Starting Semi Short
The averages have filled the gaps. SOX has filed the gap. That’s what I was looking for in terms of...
Gaps Filled
The oil suppression stories before the cash opens are getting silly at this point. Al Arabiya’s “Final Peace Deal Draft”...
Afternoon Update
What a crazy day of headline ping-pong. Around 1 p.m. Saudi’s AI Arabiya says it TV obtained what it describes...
Market Update
Oil and Yields are both higher this morning, thought choppy, which is in large part attributed to an earlier report...
Oil and Rates Pullback on Flurry of Headlines, Contributing to Market Gains. Averages Haven’t Filled The Gap Yet.
Although the latest geopolitical headlines are highly mixed and contradictory, they are triggering meaningful declines in oil prices and bond...
Market Update
While I suspect Friday’s equity gap down gets filled, likely around Nvidia’s earnings tomorrow, the gist of last night’s lengthy...
President Trump Post Truth Social Stick Save an Hour Before The Close, As 30-Yr Yield Was Breaking Out
Something geopolitical was driving oil higher with WTI jumped above $105 this afternoon… WTI (2M) Higher Oil prices pulled the...
Higher Rates Hitting Long Duration Tech/Semis
Broadly speaking, it’s been a mixed day for the averages, but with yields breaking out last week, long duration Technology...
Afternoon Update
It’s taken some time, but price action, especially in Treasuries, has been unambiguously pointing to “higher yields coming”. The Fed-sensitive...
Yields Breaking Out
If there has one obvious risk to equities above all others (and there are more than a few), it has...
Afternoon Update
The last couple of hours have been very quiet with little movement in equities, with the exception of volatility pressured...
Market Update
Yesterday was the Mag-7 anticipation rally. Today is the “show me the results” moment in terms of China deals. It...
Interesting Tech Play
I’m not sure what the catalyst is, but Chinese internet and internet-related technology companies listed outside mainland China, represented by...
Market Update – Mega Caps/Semis Lead… Long Duration Tech on Crash Course With Inflation?
On the whole, the day has a dullish tone with narrow leadership from Semis and Mega Caps, with some technical...
Afternoon Update
The averages are of session lows. Some more than others and some looking better than others. NDX (10M) Small Caps...
YoY Inflation Well Above Target, Driven Higher by Energy
The weakness in high-yield credit Monday afternoon made me suspect the major averages would have closed lower had the market...
Afternoon Update
Most averages are up by an anemic +0.15% to +0.25%, and Transports -0.8%. Volatility (+7%) displays relative strength as VIX...
