Market Update: Mega Caps Act Better, Semis Worse; Inflation Fears Turn Toward Recession Fears
President Trump’s commentary on “great progress” in negotiations with Iran gave the market some optimism before the open, though the...
Afternoon Update
Not much has changed. I thought we might get some short covering that lifts the averages off session lows. I...
Intraday Update
Just checking in and letting you know, yes, underlying trade (3C) is as ugly a price action suggests. Volatility is...
Market Update – Crude Up, Mega Caps & software Down, BTC In Dangerous Area
The war in Iran remains devoid of a clear de escalation path, and crude oil is currently up +4.35% at...
Afternoon Update – Not Looking Good, But Moving As Expected
It’s stressful to collect charts like the NDX below this near to the close. A lot can happen in the...
VXX’s Short-Term 3C Change in Character
With a ground invasion of Iran looking more and more likely; WTI up +4.5% to $94.35/bbl (above $92 local resistance),...
Mega Caps Lead Lower As Crude And Rates Move Higher
After posting 1-day overbought internals, the major averages are lower across the board, featuring weak performance from Mega Caps and...
Afternoon Update – Second Order Effect Fertilizer Plays
I’m looking seriously at adding some second/third order effect plays from the war to potentially benefit from reduced fertilizer exports...
Intraday Update: Knee Jerk on News
The latest to modestly move markets… IRAN FM ABBAS ARAQCHI SAYS ENEMY FAILED TO DIVIDE COUNTRY OR SECURE QUICK VICTORY...
Market Update: Iran Claps Back with Trump-Style, Maximalist Demands. Seems Boots in the Sand is an Increasingly Likely Escalation
I’ll keep this brief given how fluid the situation remains, but I want to establish a clear baseline so we...
Afternoon Update
President Trump kept talking about a big gift that the Iranians gave “us”, but says that he won’t say what...
WTI Knife Fight at $92; New Barrage of Trump “Negotiating Talks”
I’m watching this former support level closely as WTI tried to regain $92 (former support) after testing it at least...
Mega Caps Lag; Private Credit Funds Gating Investors
Iran launched multiple waves of missiles (at least eight overnight) targeting Israel, including Tel Aviv, Eilat, and the Dimona area....
Afternoon Update
There’s a lot of craziness and confusion on the geopolitical front. On the technical front, today is proceeding like a...
Headline Ping Pong Sows Chaos; The Price Trend Is As Expected.
I’ll try to keep developments as current as possible, but they’re moving quickly. Price action is as expected Friday. This...
Afternoon Update: Tech on the Precipice
3C led mega caps lower. Mega Caps’ relative weakness is pronounced on follow-through to the downside after a decisive break...
Market Update – Mega Caps Follow-Through to Downside
There was a flurry of fairly broad buying activity shortly after the open with as many as eight S&P 500...
Intraday Update
The market is moving on what appears to be a reaction to Israel’s Prime Minister, Netanyahu, press conference comments. “Iran...
Mega-Cap Breaks Accelerate: NVDA, META, AMZN Bear Flags Snap as Iran Hits Qatar LNG & Gulf Refineries
It’s another fast moving session with headlines shifting quickly. The basis of the geopolitical backdrop: Iran retaliated for the attack...
Afternoon Update
Though VIX/Volatility is higher, there’s a little bit of relative weakness in VIX. It has been there all day....
