Market Update
*On a personal note, my mother is currently in critical condition in the hospital. We’re awaiting test results and monitoring...
Crude Update
WTI is up +3%, strengthening the bullish tone within this consolidation phase. The bigger picture: (60m) Intraday: (3m) This smaller...
Carry Trade Chaos
I’ve already covered USD/JPY’s change in character and why: Prime Minister Takaichi’s dovish, debt-financed stimulus push, plus snap February 8...
Carry Trade Tremors & Leadership Rotation: 2026’s Risk-On Theme Showing Cracks
Today’s market landscape features a multitude of interconnected dynamics playing out across various asset classes, sectors, and time horizons, creating...
Intraday Update
Most of the gaps from Tuesday’s open have been filled. NDX SPX I’m not sure that the afternoon tone is...
Market Update – Filling Tuesday’s Greenland/Tariffs Gap
The stock market has seen a continuation of yesterday’s strength, though the market has advanced in a more orderly fashion...
Tape Bombs
President Trump said that the framework of a future deal with respect to Greenland and the entire Arctic region has...
Greenland Relief Rally Fades: Trump Rules Out Force, But Tariffs Loom as Wildcard – Equities Bounce, Then Stall
Equities staged a broad-based rebound (oversold-like bounce) after President Trump’s World Economic Forum address at Davos, stated the U.S. will...
Afternoon Update
NDX is at its 100-day, still a ways to go to reach the neckline. Mega Caps have been notably weak...
Market Update
2025 went hard, but 2026 is sprinting straight into “hold my beer” territory as flashes of uncertainty lean toward flashes...
Martin Luther Holiday Brief
Caution and a healthy dose of skepticism are warranted when viewing futures price action outside normal cash market hours (especially...
Afternoon Update
Markets have drifted sideways all afternoon with the majors virtually unchanged on the day in what appears to be classic...
Mixed Op-Ex Price Action Keeps Averages Flat, USD/JPY and 10-Yr Yield At Interesting Levels
Mega Caps and Semis led pre-market gains. MAGS faded the entire gain to trade lower shortly after the cah open....
Afternoon Update
S&P and Nasdaq faded gains this afternoon. While some of the afternoon weakness can be attributed to the Financials, the...
Intraday Update – Tech’s 3C bear flag breaks
I highlighted the bear flag in 3C yesterday afternoon, last night and in the last update. XLK (1m) Update on...
Chips Lead, Small Caps and High BetaSurge, Mega Caps Unimpressive – Carry Flag Tightens
*If you missed yesterday’s daily wrap titled, The Yen Carry Trade Hypothesis: Testing the Engine Behind 2026’s Procyclical Surge and...
Afternoon Update
The Nasdaq-100 (epicenter of today’s weakness) found some technical support at the 50-day SMa after a -1.85% decline. The 50-day...
Market Update – Defensive Bias & Mega Cap Weakness
An uneventful round of economic releases (including recent CPI & PPI confirming disinflation but not sparking aggressive rate-cut bets) and...
Afternoon Update
The choppy trade continues at the index level, though now near session lows with the Dow (-0.9%) still the worst....
Market Update- Mega Caps Weak; Crude Oil Higher
Most averages (excl. Small Caps) faded the pre-market CPI knee-jerk gains as the cash open rolled around in typical 2026...
