Semis Hammered
Everything got off to a decent start with a weak Payrolls report sending the Dollar and rates lower, but Chipmakers...
The Crack in Semis Arrives As Meta Looks To Monetize Excess Compute
The big news today is that Meta is building a cloud business to sell excess AI compute capacity to third...
Forgot to Attach these Charts
It’s a little ironic that on a day that Tech is single-handedly propping up the market and filling the SPX/NDX...
Market Update – Still on Track: SPX/NDX Gaps Being Filled
We’re on track for the week’s forecast as the cap-weighted averages fill their gaps down from a week ago. Index...
Neckline Backtests and Whimper Rallies: Markets Tracking the Forecast
The rotation that began late last week, favoring mega caps over semiconductors after the former sharply underperformed for most of...
Not So Impressive
The major averages opened firmly higher following Micron’s (MU+15.6%) stellar beat-and-raise earnings report, which initially sent the Philly Semiconductor Index more than...
Afternoon Update
Well, would you look at that! The S&P-500 (10M) Tags the neckline that I sketched in on May 26th. As...
Holding Pattern Day: Downward Bias Clearly Focused on Tech Leaders
After a nearly +5% pre-market gain, the early buy-the-dip enthusiasm across semiconductor names has waned substantially. SOX (-1%) needs to...
SPY Getting Uglier
Over the last 20 minutes or so, SPY’s 3C has been nosediving. SPY (1M) Looks like it wants to head...
AI Cost Concerns Back in Focus
A Chosun Biz article reported that SK Hynix is slowing the ramp-up of HBM4 (next-generation high-bandwidth memory for AI, particularly...
Afternoon Update
This is a quick, but meaningful observation. The major averages are near session lows, as yields are near or at...
Semi 3C Update
There’s some interesting activity on Semis 3C charts. I’ll let them speak for themselves… SMH (1m) This chart caught my...
Mostly Mixed and Little Changed: Semis Provide Support, While Mega Caps Drag on the Market, And Yields Trend Higher
Continued mega cap weakness overshadows broader market participation. In the meantime, yields are quietly creeping higher after having held key...
$7500 Op-Ex
From yesterday: ” $7500 has once again become a key near term pivotal level, but it seems like a high...
Afternoon Update
The market’s take on the Fed=Very Hawkish. The U.S. Dollar Index is up +1%, that’s a huge move, and it’s...
Hawkish FOMC
Rates left unchanged as expected by a vote of 12-0, no dissents. Policy Statement DRAMATICALLY Shorter. Fed Removes “Easing Bias”...
FOMC Drift
A modest rebound in tech names is offsetting broader market weakness as the market rolls into the Fed this afternoon....
Afternoon Update
SOX’s most prominent feature today is a small double top with what looks like a reasonably high probability bull trap...
SOX Double Top?
3C was onto something yesterday, even as stocks rallied on MOU enthusiasm, the indicator suggested institutional money was selling into...
Afternoon Update
As we near the close, Declining issues have been on the rise since the open. NYSE Decliners (1M) Advancers have...
