Volatility
VXX’s positive 3C divergence has been in effect about the same amount of time as VVIX has displayed relative strength....
From Asian AI Hype to Venezuelan Resource Rush: Cyclicals Lead Risk-On Rotation
While today has a risk-on bias with Defensive sectors lagging, the focus shifted dramatically from pre-market’s AI optimism, to a...
Window Dressing Dynamics Being Unwound First Trading Day of 2026; Potential Rotation to cyclicals, but Far From a Strong Case
1:47 p.m. ET The market got off to a strong Tech-led start and rapidly faded it. The evidence of Window...
Afternoon Update
Price declines may not be huge, but price action is solidly bearish. NDX’s (5M) price action this week is a...
Market Update
12:50 p.m. ET Apologies for the missed A.M. Update. The website’s web hosting went ahead with an unannounced migration to...
Afternoon Update – Small Caps’ Weakness Intensifies Since FOMC Minutes
To be clear, nothing about today’s lackluster trade is a surprise, as laid out clearly in yesterday’s Daily Wrap: “My...
FOMC Minutes Update – Not Helpful
3:08 p.m. ET The Minutes from the December 10th FOMC are out. Before we get to that, this NDX chart...
Market Update – As Expected; FOMC Minutes on Deck
12:25 p.m. ET The broader market has an unsurprising flattish tilt, with 4 S&P 500 sectors trading higher and 7...
Afternoon Update
Mega caps are struggling today, with relative weakness driven largely by Nvidia and Tesla. Nvidia shows a small intraday bear...
ABI Signals Intensifying; Metals Posting Key Reversal Days
Losses across mega-cap tech names pressure the major averages, amid a more defensive tone as Window Dressing influence subsides near...
Holiday Trading in Low Liquidity – Proceed with Skepticism, Though Some Key Trends Are Emerging
Today’s trade is that of another sleepy holiday-week session with notable, though typical, thin year-end liquidity. The thin liquidity exacerbates...
Market Update – A Few Quiet, Interesting Developments
12:03 p.m. ET Trade is subdued. No surprises there. There are a few subtle developments taking shape or continuing that...
Afternoon Update
Still not crazy about Small Caps’ intraday price action, Russell 2000 (15m) VVIX has decent relative strength as yesterday was...
Intraday Update
The session is similar to yesterday in that it has been fairly uneventful. Metals are soaring again, too. Platinum futures...
Market Update – ABI Under 14
12:14 p.m. ET There’s quite a bit of economic data today, but the first estimate of Q3 GDP is the...
Afternoon Update
3:49 p.m. ET It has been a dull-ish cash session, beyond the change in character from mega-cap leadership pre-market, to...
The Rotation to Cyclicals
12:48 p.m. ET Toward the end of last week I expected a rotation to procyclical sectors/value/Small Caps. Pre-market mega cap...
Afternoon Update
I’m going to keep this short for once. It’s been pretty dull since the last update – typical of option...
On Track
1:15 p.m. ET The top-weighted Tech sector leads gains for a second day (consistent with yesterday’s 3C) after a brutal...
Afternoon Update
So far we have a normal bounce in the short-term downtrend that’s coming down from the top of the right...
