Intraday Update – Price Action
Price action is bearish, but orderly. The market is legging down in relatively small declines and consolidations. SPX (3m) -Recall...
Adding to Yesterday’s Leg Down.
I’m going to keep this update brief as we’re getting to what’s likely to be an important inflection point. The...
Afternoon Update
OK, consolidation it is, kind of suspected that. NDX (2M) The question is whether the consolidation we’re seeing this afternoon...
Cracks and Creaks
I think we’re starting to hear some creaking and faint cracking sounds. Notice how quickly things went from super-bullish sentiment,...
VERY Dynamic Market – More Ominous Signals
Sorry this is later than normal, but there’s a lot of stuff happening today (Trump speaking at the U.N.; Fed...
Afternoon Update
The top-weighted Technology sector (+1.3%) drives today’s gains, with the thinly traded Utilities sector (+0.4%) the only other S&P 500...
Intraday Update – Tech Running the Show; Another Day of Signals on Track For the Close
2:29 p.m. ET Recently we’ve noticed two competing narratives, Small Caps being bought on the rate cuts narrative, but the...
Market Update – More Signals; Gold New high; In Mega Caps We Trust
11:45 a.m. ET I have a feeling the market is going to be in a holding pattern this week with...
Afternoon Update -Another ABI Signal
I didn’t think we’d get anything juicey today in terms of price action due to options expiration –the largest September...
Slow Op-Ex Action; Tech Relative Strength; Small Cap Relative Weakness; URA/REMX Impressive; MORE SIGNALS
The massive $5.3 trillion options expiration has the averages mostly in a holding pattern. Mega-cap strength is preventing losses at...
Afternoon Update – Another, Lower ABI @ 9.35
More market signals are coming in, not just ABI –which looks at the post of 5th consecutive signal (we got...
Things Are Getting More and More Interesting: Tech Rotation & Other Volatility Signals Emerging
1:25 p.m. ET Interesting day after the FOMC – Stocks higher led by Tech, as suspected, with the narrative being...
ABI Update
The ABI has been volatile today with stronger participation from Small Caps, especially in the immediate wake of the policy...
Small Caps Fade
The 2-yr yield is 5 basis points higher. Likewise, long term yields are higher than just before the FOMC (10Y...
25bp; 1 Dissent (Miran); Knee-Jerk
The fed cut by 25bp as expected. There was one dissent (Miran) for a 50bp cut. The Dot-Plot: 9 of...
Small Caps Outperform, Mega Caps Underperform
This is going to be short as everything may be upended in the next couple of hours. The market’s recent...
ABI Signal Strategy Thoughts
Trading volatility is not straight forward, but the ABI signal’s high reliability and big moves in volatility, often when VIX...
ABI Makes Another Lower Low, On Track For Third Signal
There’s a lot of individual news items moving specific stocks and sub-sectors, but the general theme is the pro-cyclical, pro-growth,...
