Microsoft & Semis Lead; And Then There’s Everything Else…
3C apparently was picking up the early stages of buying, but very specifically in Semiconductors, Mega Caps and Tech. The...
Afternoon Update
Kevin Wash’s press conference was an absolute disaster, especially at the end. He left the market with more questions than...
FOMC
No hike, but a mixed vote (9-3) with 3 dissents (Hammack, Kashkari and Logan dissent in favor of rate hike)....
Market Update
Market action is not the usual quiet pre-FOMC drift, it’s a clear double hit. Semiconductors (SOX -3.6%) remain under pressure...
Market Update
The rotation out of semiconductors intensified again at the open, though not to surprising given yesterday’s news and the KOPSI’s...
Afternoon Update
I feel pretty good about last week’s forecast for this week at least the first half of the week’s price...
WTI Crude Oil Update
Picking up on my Thursday post, Crude Consolidation-PullBack, as oil was up over 6% on the day… Everyone loves a strong...
China’s Homegrown Chip Equipment Hits ASML Hard: Semis Drag Tech Lower
Before I get into the broader market update, Semis (SOX -3.75%) started dragging the Technology sector lower (-1.45%) right at...
1-Day Oversold Relative Calm
The market is going pretty much as expected after yesterday’s relatively broad, mega-cap-led retreat. One-day oversold internals are kicking in,...
Crude Consolidation-Pull Back
I’m long oil. I think the price/volume trend has been fantastic. Today’s gains are a bridge too far. As noted...
Mega Caps and Macro Collide
Earnings and the geopolitical macro backdrop are colliding in today’s stock market action. The market had largely ignored building geopolitically-driven...
3C Update
After Semis recovered opening losses for the Nasdaq, the major averages have traded in a relatively stable, flat range with...
Afternoon Update
As mentioned earlier, (QQQ 1M) this kind of weak confirmation is often seen on a gap up as futures/overnight...
Market Update – Semis Lead, Despite higher Oil, Yields and Dollar
Semis lead with bitcoin’s positive risk sentiment signal. Semis did get some positive news overnight. The market is holding up...
3C Update
I’ll post the charts below, but not surprisingly, given we’re early in a short-term oversold condition (mainly in tech), 3C...
Market Update
The June Leading Economic Index decreased -0.2% month-over-month (consensus 0.1%), from a prior increase of 0.1%. Averages Story of...
Afternoon Update
Quick Update I see some 3C negative divergences. Most are in the tech/hyperscaler areas, but rather than the specific stocks,...
Market Update: When It Rains, It Pours: Chinese Kimi K3 Questions AI Scaling Narrative as Middle East Fires Up Oil
Today is one of those, “When it rains, it pours” days. There are two major drivers in a fast-paced market....
Afternoon Update
We’re headed for some ugly closes, and just after we caught smart money pillaging dumb money yesterday afternoon (unloading their...
Market Update
I ended one of my two “distribution scheme” posts yesterday with, “These are pros distributing , cleverly leading retail by the nose,...
