Market Update
The market has seen a modest increase in its implied rate cut expectations from the Fed after this morning’s weak...
Oil Target Hit – Taking Half off Before the Weekend
Yesterday I updated my measured move for WTI crude oil futures: I feel comfortable with the $84 measured move, but...
Afternoon Update
In response to the news in the last post (oil), stocks have responded, coming off session lows. Most moves were...
Oil Headlines
Treasury to announce measure as soon as Thursday to combat rising energy prices That includes using oil futures market: Senior...
Market Update
Time i’ve analyzed the market and put together a post I usually have to go back and update price percent...
Afternoon Update
Not much has changed since midday, with just the Energy (-0.6%) and Consumer Staples (-0.4%) sectors red. Today’s equity market...
Market Update
Tuesday had 2 of 3 conditions necessary for a 1-day oversold. Today’s price action reflects that, like 1-day oversold-lite. A...
Quick Afternoon Update
There’s a whole lot of craziness out there today. A good deal of it was probably due yesterday in terms...
Trump to Provide Insurance/Naval Escorts
This was just posted on Truth Social as the administration tries to find a way to get oil flowing through...
From Complacency to Panic: Probably Short-Term Oversold
The market is starting to come to terms with the idea that Iran might be more than a short-term skirmish...
IRGC Said To Close Strait of Hormuz
I can see the developments in price before I can find them in open source intelligence. Crude oil (+8.5% @...
Market Update
I’ve long held the view that most geopolitical flare-ups prove to be tempests in a teapot for markets in the...
Afternoon Update, Things About to Get Spicy: Software & Mega Caps
It’s easy to buy into fear when the market is dropping. The bigger the drop, the more believable the scary...
Mega Caps and Software Weak, But Credit Increasingly Alarming
I’ve viewed Software’s bounce as a dead cat (until proven otherwise). The group is under pressure again after a 3-day...
Afternoon Update
I’ve been running through 3C charts for hours. The gist is little changed as it relates to the large-cap dominant,...
Semis Under Pressure Post-NVDA Earnings
Following Nvidia (NVDA -4.6%) earnings, Semis are under pressure (SOX -4.1%), pulling the top-weighted Technology sector (-2.15%) to the bottom...
Afternoon Update
There’s been an odd reversal of 2026 rotational themes, led by Technology (just ahead of Nvidia earnings after the close)...
Counter Rotation / Credit Not Impressive/ New ABI Signal
The market got off to a solid start with strong Tech leadership ahead of Nvidia’s earnings after the close. Software...
Seems Like An Oversold Bounce and Not Much More
My gosh, these days are long, taking in numerous, wildly changing events and news, much of it in the AI...
Afternoon Update
The AI anxiety is not over. IBM falls -13.25% as Anthropic’s AI automation of COBOL modernization threatens its legacy mainframe...
