Afternoon Update
I feel pretty good about last week’s forecast for this week at least the first half of the week’s price...
WTI Crude Oil Update
Picking up on my Thursday post, Crude Consolidation-PullBack, as oil was up over 6% on the day… Everyone loves a strong...
China’s Homegrown Chip Equipment Hits ASML Hard: Semis Drag Tech Lower
Before I get into the broader market update, Semis (SOX -3.75%) started dragging the Technology sector lower (-1.45%) right at...
1-Day Oversold Relative Calm
The market is going pretty much as expected after yesterday’s relatively broad, mega-cap-led retreat. One-day oversold internals are kicking in,...
Crude Consolidation-Pull Back
I’m long oil. I think the price/volume trend has been fantastic. Today’s gains are a bridge too far. As noted...
Mega Caps and Macro Collide
Earnings and the geopolitical macro backdrop are colliding in today’s stock market action. The market had largely ignored building geopolitically-driven...
3C Update
After Semis recovered opening losses for the Nasdaq, the major averages have traded in a relatively stable, flat range with...
Afternoon Update
As mentioned earlier, (QQQ 1M) this kind of weak confirmation is often seen on a gap up as futures/overnight...
Market Update – Semis Lead, Despite higher Oil, Yields and Dollar
Semis lead with bitcoin’s positive risk sentiment signal. Semis did get some positive news overnight. The market is holding up...
3C Update
I’ll post the charts below, but not surprisingly, given we’re early in a short-term oversold condition (mainly in tech), 3C...
Market Update
The June Leading Economic Index decreased -0.2% month-over-month (consensus 0.1%), from a prior increase of 0.1%. Averages Story of...
Afternoon Update
Quick Update I see some 3C negative divergences. Most are in the tech/hyperscaler areas, but rather than the specific stocks,...
Market Update: When It Rains, It Pours: Chinese Kimi K3 Questions AI Scaling Narrative as Middle East Fires Up Oil
Today is one of those, “When it rains, it pours” days. There are two major drivers in a fast-paced market....
Afternoon Update
We’re headed for some ugly closes, and just after we caught smart money pillaging dumb money yesterday afternoon (unloading their...
Market Update
I ended one of my two “distribution scheme” posts yesterday with, “These are pros distributing , cleverly leading retail by the nose,...
Invisible Hand Follow-Up: Distribution in Action: Why Someone Was So Eager to Push Prices Higher This Afternoon
And now we see exactly why someone was so eager to push prices higher this afternoon.(Go ahead and guess who...
Invisible Hand at Work: Mag-7 Heavyweights Drag NDX Above 50-Day
This looks like classic low-volume market silliness. There’s no clear catalyst for the abrupt reversal around 12:45 p.m. ET, just...
Rotational Wednesday: Tech & Energy Fade as Defensives & Mega Caps Lead, Semis Sell the ASML News
Early trade is rotational. Yesterday’s leaders (Tech and Energy) are today’s laggards, while defensive sectors that sold off Monday are...
Afternoon Update
The day has been pretty darn dull. The tech sector and Semis retraced some of Monday’s losses, but that’s about...
Market Update – Oil Tags Measured Move
Major averages are mostly mixed with the Nasdaq 100 leading the pack. After a somewhat choppy morning, the Technology sector ...
