February Kickoff: Stocks Ignore Overnight Carnage in Gold/Silver/BTC; Oracle’s $50B Gamble
Illiquid extended hours/futures trade isn’t always the best indication for the cash market. In fact over the last few months,...
Weekly Wrap
The major averages closed firmly lower today, capping a volatile month-end session. Month-end rebalancing appears to be contributing, with small...
Daily Wrap – Chaos on the Tape
Overnight and premarket action showed metals soaring and 10 of 11 sectors higher, though Tech lagged. A dismal reaction to...
Flat FOMC Drift: Semis Lead, Mega-Cap Rotation Persists Amid Hawkish Shift & Dollar Backtest
The major stock indexes opened higher on Wednesday, lifted by strong corporate earnings reports and related developments (mainly in the...
Precious Metals Flash Yellow Flags After Explosive Surge
I want to thank everyone for the thoughtful messages. Unfortunately, my mother’s condition has declined sharply and unexpectedly, with the...
The Breaking of Things?
Summing up the week with a picture… Chaotic. Many of January’s 2026 trends and assumptions seem to be crashing down...
Daily Wrap
The dominant market theme Thursday centered on relief-driven follow-through from Wednesday’s headline-driven volatility, sparked by geopolitical concerns around Greenland and...
TACO- Separating Signal From Noise
I’m not sure how much signal we can separate from the tape-bomb noise, but here’s the day in a nutshell:...
Pre-Existing Technical Cracks & Accelerating Geopolitical/Structural Uncertainty in 2026
It’s tempting to quickly blame today’s volatility purely on headline jitters—Trump’s Greenland tariff threats reigniting trade-war fears, but Japanese bond...
Tech’s Early Surge Fades, Small Caps Dominate, Carry Trade Questions
The stock market delivered a mixed but ultimately positive session, with broad-based gains led by Tech after TSMC‘s strong earnings...
The Yen Carry Trade Hypothesis: Testing the Engine Behind 2026’s Procyclical Surge and Defensive Squeeze
Today’s market action extended yesterday’s rotating roller coaster, with ongoing geopolitical developments and fundamentals driving the volatility, that volatility itself...
Calm VIX Hides Rising Tail Risk: SKEW Rises, VVIX Jumps, Markets Digest Geopolitics & Banks
A busy morning of economic data and earnings reports failed to provide a strong enough catalyst for equities. Escalating protests...
Daily Wrap: Powell’s DOJ Drama Drives Safe-Haven Surge in Precious Metals as Stocks Claw Back Losses
This week was already going to be full, with: inflation data, Fed speakers (before Saturday’s Fed media blackout), and banks...
Daily Wrap – A Mixed Market With More Rotation, Cracks in Tech and Strength in Crude
Yet another day of crazy rotation with cyclicals leading and tech notably retreating -a complete flip of pre-market indications. For...
Daily Wrap
As has been the norm recently, early futures indications meant nothing once the cash market opened. the Dow and Small...
U.S. Reflation Hopes: Authentic or Just Asia’s Echo?
The stock market added to the strong start to the first full trading week of the new year today, with...
Daily Wrap
The first full trading week of 2026 kicked off with a something of a head fake this morning: chip stocks...
Daily Wrap – Window Dressing Fades; Important Clues Emerge Amid Dull Trade
Monday’s Daily Wrap concluded with the observation, “I anticipate a couple of lackluster days for market price action, but as...
Daily Wrap – New ABI Signals
Recently I’ve had a more and more difficult time explaining gold’s strength; acting more like a risk asset than a...
Subtle Whispers from Volatility and ABI: Quiet Clues of a Bearish Shift Beneath the Calm
Today’s abbreviated session was a snoozer. The averages finished modestly higher, between +0.2% and +0.6% as volatility (VIX -3.7%) was...
